Expert interview with Alessandro Bee: The impact of climate change on companies in Switzerland

Alessandro Bee UBS Expert
Foto: Alessandro Bee, UBS

Against the backdrop of climate change, the rejection of the CO₂ Act in Switzerland underlines the urgency of taking new and effective measures to meet the commitments of the Paris Agreement. Against this backdrop, it is of the utmost importance for Switzerland to develop innovative solutions that make the net zero target achievable. The development of such strategies requires a rethink in many areas, from energy production to mobility and industrial production, in order to follow a path that prioritizes both ecological responsibility and economic resilience.

Business Sustainability Today talks to Alessandro Bee, Economist and Head of CIO Macro & Strategy at UBS Switzerland, about the implications of climate change for Swiss businesses and how Switzerland can move towards net zero.

This article on the impact of climate change on companies in Switzerland is supported by

Business Sustainability Today:

Mr. Alessandro Bee, what are the biggest economic impacts of climate change for Switzerland? Which sectors and industries are most affected?

Alessandro Bee:

The two most relevant issues for Switzerland are, on the one hand, excess mortality, which we may now experience every summer, and, on the other, increasing migration pressure due to climate change. Excess mortality is a controversial topic, especially when it comes to what measures need to be taken and how much of a burden these will be on our society. As climate change is currently mainly affecting poorer countries, i.e. countries that are already under pressure today, migration pressure there could increase significantly. This would ultimately also affect Switzerland.

At industry and regional level, climate change primarily affects tourism, agriculture and insurance. This could have both positive and negative effects on tourism, depending on the location, due to a rising snow line: positive for certain locations above the (new higher) snow line, negative for ski resorts with too little snow. For agriculture, hotter summers mean more drought and a spread of pests, which affects production. If less can be produced in Switzerland, prices and imports will rise. In addition, extreme weather events will increase with climate change. In Switzerland, floods and landslides can occur more frequently, even in places that were previously considered safe. This means that insurance companies will be more challenged and new questions will be raised about what can still be insured and how much it will cost.

Business Sustainability Today:

The Federal Council wants to achieve the net zero target by 2050. What does the rejection of the CO₂ Act mean for the Swiss economy and society?

Alessandro Bee:

The CO₂ Act could have been the first step on the road to net zero. The aim of the law was to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50 percent with regard to climate change, with 1990 as the reference point. This would have meant that companies in Switzerland would have had to reduce CO₂ emissions by around 30 percent on average across all sectors over the next 10 years. In addition, we are already somewhat behind when it comes to reducing greenhouse gases – for example, the targets that Switzerland has set itself for 2020 are unlikely to be met. The net zero target is thus very ambitious, which is probably why there was resistance.

Now it will be important for the Federal Council to identify why the law was rejected. Is it a resistance to net zero or a dislike of how to get there? The path to net zero has already been set in many countries and Switzerland has signed the Paris Agreement. Therefore, it is necessary to consider what should be changed. Does Switzerland want to focus more on incentives and less on prohibitions? Should innovation be promoted and certain taxes waived in return?

Business Sustainability Today:

In the report “The Road to Net Zero for Switzerland” you describe four ways to reduce greenhouse gases. Financing negative emissions technologies and reducing CO₂ abroad are less of a priority for Swiss companies1 than expanding renewable energies and reducing energy consumption at home. How do you explain that?

Alessandro Bee:

Negative emission technologies are not yet so popular because, on the one hand, they are not yet so well known, especially among small companies, and, on the other hand, they are still in the development phase. Their potential for companies in Switzerland and the impact on climate change is difficult for company management to assess. As such technologies become more established, I would imagine that approval will also increase. In general, Swiss companies are very willing to change and the survey results show that Swiss companies are also prepared to change at home. Environmental protection is particularly essential for companies with international value chains. Often such companies commit individually to the net zero target.

However, it should be noted that while the net-zero target (domestically) is important, we need to do more to really make a substantial contribution to mitigating climate change. If we look at Switzerland’s domestic greenhouse gas emissions, we are in line with the global average, which is a good result for an industrialized nation. But our CO₂ footprint, i.e. the amount of CO₂ our consumption emits, is much larger. We import cars and export medicines. This is good for our domestic carbon footprint, because energy-intensive car production does not take place in Switzerland – but the cars ultimately have Swiss customers. Therefore, we are all challenged to reduce our own footprint at the individual level as well – beyond the domestic net zero target.

Business Sustainability Today:

60% of Swiss companies consider the net zero target to be achievable, according to the survey. This also means that 40% of Swiss companies are skeptical about this. In view of the rejection of the CO₂ law, the question now naturally arises: how can these 40% be convinced and even motivated to work towards net zero?

Alessandro Bee:

It is important to differentiate here: A large proportion of companies that are skeptical and consider the net zero target to be unachievable are nevertheless convinced that it is desirable. In our study, we also saw that the more companies know about sustainability, the more likely they are to believe the goal is achievable. In addition, companies that have a great deal of knowledge about sustainability not only consider net zero to be achievable, but also see it as an opportunity for the economy and therefore probably also as a business opportunity for themselves.

Climate change is still a controversial topic for some and is not entirely straightforward in terms of the subject matter – after all, we are talking about developments over the next thirty to sixty years. This leads to great uncertainty and does not make it easy to deal with the topic. This is where education and communication can make a big contribution. It is important to explain the problem and to point out solutions as well as costs and opportunities for companies.

What we also saw in our study is that there is a difference between large and small companies when it comes to the level of knowledge about sustainability. Small companies have fewer opportunities and resources to deal with the issue. A large company can employ a sustainability officer – a five-person company cannot. This also makes a big difference in the level of knowledge. Therefore, the most obvious political measure is to strengthen this transfer of knowledge. This also helps companies that do not have the resources themselves to deal intensively with the topic.

Business Sustainability Today:

What do you think it will take, in terms of awareness or infrastructure, for the majority of Swiss companies to focus their business models on environmental and social sustainability, even apart from the net zero target?

Alessandro Bee:

If you look at how sustainability is developing in the corporate world, you see that great success stories take on a certain momentum of their own. I think this is where we should start, also with regard to climate change. Companies should be inspired to jump on the bandwagon. The automotive market is one example. While Elon Musk was laughed at a few years ago, today we know that he has transformed the car market. All the major car manufacturers are following suit and increasingly adopting electric mobility. This can be imitated in other areas, with more promotion and attention for success stories in different sectors. However, communication and attention alone are not enough – they are auxiliary tools and no substitute for bids or incentives.

Business Sustainability Today:

How can innovations be promoted and how important are cleantech and climate tech for Switzerland?

Alessandro Bee:

Cleantech is an established, important industry, with around 200,000 jobs in Switzerland, according to the Swiss Federal Statistical Office, and involves a wide range of solutions, from energy efficiency to resource conservation. Climate Tech is all about CO₂ reductions.

Switzerland could take a leading international position in both sectors, for example in energy storage using hydropower. Switzerland could also distinguish itself with innovative solutions in the field of solar energy (where the Confederation would like to focus in the next few years) and export these solutions.

Opportunities also exist in other industries: Tourism, for example, is a highly competitive market, but here too there is potential to differentiate yourself with CO₂-reduced tourism.

Business Sustainability Today:

Do you have any advice for companies that not only want to be sustainable but also truly innovative and proactive on the road to 2050?

Alessandro Bee:

If the authorities continue to work towards net zero, despite the rejection of the CO₂ Act, sooner or later this will mean that the regulatory framework conditions will change massively both at home and abroad. Those who want to respond proactively should seize the opportunities in these changes early on. For example, in building services, stricter regulations will also open up new opportunities for construction companies. Moreover, not only regulations change, but also consumer preferences. Companies are required to reorient themselves and anticipate future developments at both regulatory and consumer level. In principle, net zero can be seen as a constraint or an opportunity. Our surveys show that many companies perceive it as a win-win, in the sense of: We are slowing down climate change and giving our economy new momentum.

Business Sustainability Today:

Can and should Switzerland focus on climate and net zero separately from other issues, or should it be addressed together with issues such as the implementation of a circular economy?

Alessandro Bee:

I think there is a focus on net zero for companies, not detached from other issues. Once a company perceives sustainability as part of its strategy and corporate responsibility, it is all the more likely that they will also consider other issues, such as recycling, and take a holistic approach to sustainability.

Here, too, education and communication play an important role. In the case of large, listed companies, the external factors are important: what do shareholders want, what do consumers want? But for small companies in Switzerland (often in the service sector), it is the attitude of the company owners and employees that is decisive. According to our survey, sustainability is part of the corporate philosophy for many small companies. If these companies are clearly shown what the problems are and what climate change means, what costs are associated with it and what possible solutions exist, they may be persuaded even more to take on various sustainability issues.

Business Sustainability Today:

What is your assessment of the role and contribution of the financial sector on the path to net zero?

Alessandro Bee:

There are two aspects here. On the one hand, the financial sector must reduce its own footprint in order to achieve the net zero target. However, the greater leverage lies in how banks contribute to net zero with their investments and financing. Sustainable investing has now become established, and not just because of climate change, and there are various forms of it, be it based on ESG criteria or green bonds. In addition, banks can take sustainability criteria into account when financing projects or real estate. This makes sense insofar as a bank is interested in ensuring that its borrowers continue to comply with current (environmental) regulations in ten or fifteen years’ time and that the value of properties, among other things, remains stable. Banks can use these tools to help companies transform their operations towards net zero.

1 according to the entrepreneur survey on sustainability for Swiss companies conducted in March 2021; © Photo: UBS

17 Ziele für eine nachhaltige Entwicklung

"Mausklick" auf das jeweilige SDG-Logo öffnet die jeweilige Sektion mit Anwendungs-Beispielen aus der Unternehmenspraxis.